Startups

Capturing spread is a powerful but less understood business model available for some startups

Comment

Image Credits: anyaberkut / Getty Images

Mohit Agarwal

Contributor

Mohit Agarwal is a leader at a global management consulting firm based in New York, where he drives large business transformations.

More posts from Mohit Agarwal

It is now close to gospel that internet advertising and B2B SaaS are among the last century’s most profitable (legitimate) business models. They have more similarities than differences.

Both internet advertising and B2B SaaS benefit from a meager marginal cost of production (which is the core driver of their margins). Once the platform and audience are in place, an additional advertisement doesn’t cost much, just as selling an additional license doesn’t require a new software build. Both rely on a strong B2B sales motion — selling licenses to enterprises or selling ads to SMBs. Both have sizable go-to-market and customer success functions, ensuring the all-too-critical sales and service motion is well run. Both attract and incentivize account executives with lucrative variable compensation packages.

These businesses are as much about sales excellence as they are about product. The product needs to be great, but without sales, the business doesn’t generate those nosebleed valuations.

If your startup naturally falls into internet advertising or B2B SaaS, congratulations. The margins are significant. The valuations are high. However, you’re not the only one with this idea — it’s hugely competitive, and every other B2B SaaS company or internet advertiser is trying to eat lunch. And these are formidable giants we’re talking about.

While not as profitable, a different model businesses use worldwide is “capturing spread,” which may apply to your startup, depending on how you answer the following questions.

Before we get there, what is “capturing spread”?

Capturing spread is the idea of making (usually) a small amount of revenue on a more significant flow of capital. Financial services firms across the world primarily use this model. You buy an ETF (exchange-traded fund) from your broker, who charges you 0.5% per year for the product. However, it only costs them 0.45%. The difference is infinitesimally small — 0.05% (or 5 bps), but it adds up if they can attract billions of dollars (and they often can).

Let’s run the math: 0.05% on $1 billion is half a million dollars of straight EBITDA. If the spread increases to 0.2% and attracts $5 billion, the profit hits $10 million.

Some very profitable businesses follow this model. Think of your favorite stablecoin, one that U.S. Treasuries and USD cash back. Over $50 billion in assets are invested in the stablecoin, held in U.S. Treasuries yielding ~5%. The stablecoin pays out to its holders but nowhere close to 5%. Let’s say it pays out 3% through a mix of rewards. It gets to keep 2% of the $50 billion — a whopping $1 billion.

How can you assess whether capturing spread may be proper for you? Here are a few questions to ask and consider:

Can you attract a large amount of capital or flow?

Typically, the spread a startup or business can capture is small (usually less than 0.1%, maybe up to 1%, rarely above 1%). The more competitive the market, the lower the spread. Let’s say it’s 1%. Try to back out what it would take for this startup to get a $1 billion valuation. If the multiple of this business is 20x, a $1 billion valuation requires profits of $50 million a year.

To generate those profits at a 1% spread, the startup needs to attract $5 billion of capital. Can your startup attract $5 billion of capital or flow every year? Can $5 billion of GMV flow through your business every year? Can you process volumes of $5 billion?

Can your business charge a % of capital or flow?

Not every business can charge a percentage of capital. If yours can, the spread business model is suitable. If your startup charges per seat, you’re not in the spread but the B2B sales model. If you’re paid by deliverable, you’re in the services model.

The spread business model only works if you’re paid as a percentage of the capital you manage. It’s more complicated than you think — businesses naturally don’t like paying for things as a percentage because the costs scale up. It’s much easier to charge someone a fixed fee than a percentage when usage is expected to scale.

Can services be delivered for a smaller percentage of capital flow or fixed cost?

Say you managed to get capital/flow and charge a percentage each year. You have revenue. But to generate operating profits, you must deliver your services for a percentage less than what you charge. Or even better, for a fixed fee.

Let’s return to our example. You attracted $5 billion of capital/flow and charge 1.5%. If you can deliver your service at 0.5% costs, your spread is 1% (1.5% – 0.5%), and your profits are $50 million. However, if your service costs 2%, you’re losing 0.5% each time and will run at a loss of $25 million.

Even better, can you provide your services at a fixed cost? If yes, it’s simply a scaling problem. Everything else is profit once you accumulate enough capital/flows and charge a percentage that covers the expenses.

Can you reduce the volatility in the capital or flow?

Ideally, the amount of capital or flow grows fast. Failing that, you want your capital or flow to be as stable and predictable as possible. Investors hate businesses that make $100 million in profits one year but turn a loss next before bouncing back to $150 million in profits the next. They’d much rather have a business that makes at least $50 million and grows yearly.

Remember, volatility is the enemy of valuation, and “up and to the right” is the goal.

Where does this leave us? If you answered no to the previous questions, should you try to shape your business to capture spread? Absolutely not. There are better business models (in B2B SaaS, and internet advertising).

However, if you answered yes to the questions above, consider this well-understood and powerful business model for you to help shape and grow your business.

More TechCrunch

After Apple loosened its App Store guidelines to permit game emulators, the retro game emulator Delta — an app 10 years in the making — hit the top of the…

Adobe comes after indie game emulator Delta for copying its logo

Meta is once again taking on its competitors by developing a feature that borrows concepts from others — in this case, BeReal and Snapchat. The company is developing a feature…

Meta’s latest experiment borrows from BeReal’s and Snapchat’s core ideas

Welcome to Startups Weekly! We’ve been drowning in AI news this week, with Google’s I/O setting the pace. And Elon Musk rages against the machine.

Startups Weekly: It’s the dawning of the age of AI — plus,  Musk is raging against the machine

IndieBio’s Bay Area incubator is about to debut its 15th cohort of biotech startups. We took special note of a few, which were making some major, bordering on ludicrous, claims…

IndieBio’s SF incubator lineup is making some wild biotech promises

YouTube TV has announced that its multiview feature for watching four streams at once is now available on Android phones and tablets. The Android launch comes two months after YouTube…

YouTube TV’s ‘multiview’ feature is now available on Android phones and tablets

Featured Article

Two Santa Cruz students uncover security bug that could let millions do their laundry for free

CSC ServiceWorks provides laundry machines to thousands of residential homes and universities, but the company ignored requests to fix a security bug.

13 hours ago
Two Santa Cruz students uncover security bug that could let millions do their laundry for free

OpenAI’s Superalignment team, responsible for developing ways to govern and steer “superintelligent” AI systems, was promised 20% of the company’s compute resources, according to a person from that team. But…

OpenAI created a team to control ‘superintelligent’ AI — then let it wither, source says

TechCrunch Disrupt 2024 is just around the corner, and the buzz is palpable. But what if we told you there’s a chance for you to not just attend, but also…

Harness the TechCrunch Effect: Host a Side Event at Disrupt 2024

Decks are all about telling a compelling story and Goodcarbon does a good job on that front. But there’s important information missing too.

Pitch Deck Teardown: Goodcarbon’s $5.5M seed deck

Slack is making it difficult for its customers if they want the company to stop using its data for model training.

Slack under attack over sneaky AI training policy

A Texas-based company that provides health insurance and benefit plans disclosed a data breach affecting almost 2.5 million people, some of whom had their Social Security number stolen. WebTPA said…

Healthcare company WebTPA discloses breach affecting 2.5 million people

Featured Article

Microsoft dodges UK antitrust scrutiny over its Mistral AI stake

Microsoft won’t be facing antitrust scrutiny in the U.K. over its recent investment into French AI startup Mistral AI.

14 hours ago
Microsoft dodges UK antitrust scrutiny over its Mistral AI stake

Ember has partnered with HSBC in the U.K. so that the bank’s business customers can access Ember’s services from their online accounts.

Embedded finance is still trendy as accounting automation startup Ember partners with HSBC UK

Kudos uses AI to figure out consumer spending habits so it can then provide more personalized financial advice, like maximizing rewards and utilizing credit effectively.

Kudos lands $10M for an AI smart wallet that picks the best credit card for purchases

The EU’s warning comes after Microsoft failed to respond to a legally binding request for information that focused on its generative AI tools.

EU warns Microsoft it could be fined billions over missing GenAI risk info

The prospects for troubled banking-as-a-service startup Synapse have gone from bad to worse this week after a United States Trustee filed an emergency motion on Wednesday.  The trustee is asking…

A US Trustee wants troubled fintech Synapse to be liquidated via Chapter 7 bankruptcy, cites ‘gross mismanagement’

U.K.-based Seraphim Space is spinning up its 13th accelerator program, with nine participating companies working on a range of tech from propulsion to in-space manufacturing and space situational awareness. The…

Seraphim’s latest space accelerator welcomes nine companies

OpenAI has reached a deal with Reddit to use the social news site’s data for training AI models. In a blog post on OpenAI’s press relations site, the company said…

OpenAI inks deal to train AI on Reddit data

X users will now be able to discover posts from new Communities that are trending directly from an Explore tab within the section.

X pushes more users to Communities

For Mark Zuckerberg’s 40th birthday, his wife got him a photoshoot. Zuckerberg gives the camera a sly smile as he sits amid a carefully crafted re-creation of his childhood bedroom.…

Mark Zuckerberg’s makeover: Midlife crisis or carefully crafted rebrand?

Strava announced a slew of features, including AI to weed out leaderboard cheats, a new ‘family’ subscription plan, dark mode and more.

Strava taps AI to weed out leaderboard cheats, unveils ‘family’ plan, dark mode and more

We all fall down sometimes. Astronauts are no exception. You need to be in peak physical condition for space travel, but bulky space suits and lower gravity levels can be…

Astronauts fall over. Robotic limbs can help them back up.

Microsoft will launch its custom Cobalt 100 chips to customers as a public preview at its Build conference next week, TechCrunch has learned. In an analyst briefing ahead of Build,…

Microsoft’s custom Cobalt chips will come to Azure next week

What a wild week for transportation news! It was a smorgasbord of news that seemed to touch every sector and theme in transportation.

Tesla keeps cutting jobs and the feds probe Waymo

Sony Music Group has sent letters to more than 700 tech companies and music streaming services to warn them not to use its music to train AI without explicit permission.…

Sony Music warns tech companies over ‘unauthorized’ use of its content to train AI

Winston Chi, Butter’s founder and CEO, told TechCrunch that “most parties, including our investors and us, are making money” from the exit.

GrubMarket buys Butter to give its food distribution tech an AI boost

The investor lawsuit is related to Bolt securing a $30 million personal loan to Ryan Breslow, which was later defaulted on.

Bolt founder Ryan Breslow wants to settle an investor lawsuit by returning $37 million worth of shares

Meta, the parent company of Facebook, launched an enterprise version of the prominent social network in 2015. It always seemed like a stretch for a company built on a consumer…

With the end of Workplace, it’s fair to wonder if Meta was ever serious about the enterprise

X, formerly Twitter, turned TweetDeck into X Pro and pushed it behind a paywall. But there is a new column-based social media tool in town, and it’s from Instagram Threads.…

Meta Threads is testing pinned columns on the web, similar to the old TweetDeck

As part of 2024’s Accessibility Awareness Day, Google is showing off some updates to Android that should be useful to folks with mobility or vision impairments. Project Gameface allows gamers…

Google expands hands-free and eyes-free interfaces on Android