Do Or Die Week For Yahoo

Erick Schonfeld

Erick Schonfeld is a technology journalist and the executive producer of DEMO. He is also a partner at bMuse, a product incubator in New York City. Schonfeld is the former Editor in Chief of TechCrunch. At TechCrunch, he oversaw the editorial content of the site, helped to program the Disrupt conferences and CrunchUps, produced TCTV shows, and wrote daily... → Learn More

Monday, April 21st, 2008

gun1.pngThis is it. Yahoo’s final week to negotiate with Microsoft, or find a better bid, before the proxy battle begins. The company has until Saturday to respond to Microsoft’s offer. A lot can still happen before then.

Yahoo announces earnings tomorrow, and the conference call should be a lively one. Yahoo will certainly be asked about its test with running Google ads on its search results, and about any counteroffers from Time Warner/AOL. We will be liveblogging the call here, starting at 2PM PT.

Meanwhile, the posturing has already begun. Rupert Murdoch, Yahoo’s white-knight-that-wasn’t, is still hinting that he might throw his weight behind a Microsoft bid. On Monday, at a speech he gave, he said, “I certainly can’t afford to bid against Microsoft (for Yahoo).” And when asked directly if he would join Microsoft in its bid for Yahoo, he didn’t rule out the possibility.

Will Yahoo finally pull the trigger on a deal, or will it let someone else do the shooting?

Update: The buzz is that Yahoo will pull out all the stops this quarter and beat the consensus earnings estimates of $0.09 a share (which, of course, has been revised down from $0.11 a share a month ago) and consensus revenue estimates of $1.32 billion. If it does have an unusually good quarter, that could also strengthen its negotiating position with Microsoft, even though Steve Ballmer is trying to play down that possibility.

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