• Is Microsoft About To Overpay For Skype?

    Erick Schonfeld

    Erick Schonfeld is a technology journalist and the executive producer of DEMO. He is also a partner at bMuse, a product incubator in New York City. Schonfeld is the former Editor in Chief of TechCrunch. At TechCrunch, he oversaw the editorial content of the site, helped to program the Disrupt conferences and CrunchUps, produced TCTV shows, and wrote daily... → Learn More

    Monday, May 9th, 2011

    Update 5/10: Confirmed, $8.5 billion in cash.

    The deal buzzards are swirling around Skype, and Microsoft may end up with the prize. Om first reported the rumor, which is now getting major play by the WSJ. Microsoft is in final negotiations to buy Skype for $7 billion, according to the WSJ report. The final price might go closer to $8 billion. (Update: Actually, $8.5 billion).

    Google and Facebook were also sniffing around Skype, which put off its IPO earlier this year to buy more negotiating time. Microsoft will certainly be overpaying for Skype, which is a better fit for Google or Facebook. But Microsoft is desperate for a legitimate Internet business beyond Bing.

    Skype would fit into Microsoft’s enterprise business as a communications hub for telephony, video conferencing, and online meetings. But is it worth 8 10 times revenue and 26 32 times operating profits (Skype’s 2010 revenue was $860 million, adjusted EBITDA was $264 million, and it had no net income to speak—it lost $7 million)? Maybe, if Microsoft doesn’t screw it up.

    The chances that it does screw it up if the deal goes through, however, are large. To make Skype work financially, Microsoft would have to turn it into more of an enterprise play to go up against Cisco’s WebEx, for instance. Skype is already making money from businesses to some extent, but it’s roots are with consumers who want to bypass the traditional phone companies and their outrageous bills.

    When you think of Microsoft, you don’t exactly think about voice communications. You think about productivity, and to some extent collaboration (although I find its products to be designed more for solitary use). Skype is not a natural fit. Just like it wasn’t a natural fit for eBay, which bought it and then spun it off.

    But what about Windows Phone, Microsoft’s mobile OS? Well, that’s where it gets interesting. Skype baked into Windows Phone would be a powerful combination, exactly the type of tight integration that could give it a fighting chance. Except that Skype on iPhone and Android is already pretty good.

    So yes, there is logic to the deal. But $7 billion to $8 billion for a company still hasn’t figured out how to turn 663 million users into a profit machine is a stretch. But then, Microsoft was never any good at making money on the Internet either. It feels like Skype really wanted to sell to another company like Google or Facebook, but when the bankers started to shop it around, Ballmer bit and now he won’t let go. Could Google or Facebook have done the deal for less? I think so.

    Company: Skype
    Website: skype.com
    Launch Date: August 2003
    Funding: $69.1M

    Skype is a software application that allows users to make voice and video calls and chats over the Internet. Calls to other users within the Skype service are free, while calls to both traditional landline telephones and mobile phones can be made for a fee using a debit-based user account system. Skype was founded by Niklas Zennstrom and Janus Friis who were also the founders of the file sharing application Kazaa. Skype has also become popular for its additional...

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    Company: Microsoft
    Website: microsoft.com
    Launch Date: April 4, 1974
    IPO: NASDAQ:MSFT

    Microsoft, founded in 1975 by Bill Gates and Paul Allen, is a veteran software company, best known for its Microsoft Windows operating system and the Microsoft Office suite of productivity software. Starting in 1980 Microsoft formed a partnership with IBM allowing Microsoft to sell its software package with the computers IBM manufactured. Microsoft is widely used by professionals worldwide and largely dominates the American corporate market. Additionally, the company has ventured into hardware with consumer products such as the Zune and...

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