• Is the Growth Of The Web Slowing Down Or Just Taking A Breather?

    Friday, May 8th, 2009

    Erick Schonfeld is a technology journalist and the former Editor in Chief of TechCrunch. At TechCrunch, he oversaw the editorial content of the site, helped to program the Disrupt conferences and CrunchUps, produced TCTV shows, and wrote daily for the blog. He joined TechCrunch as Co-Editor in 2007, and helped take it from a popular blog to a thriving... → Learn More

    There are now 231.5 million Websites according to Netcraft. But last year the number of new sites added to the Web slowed down to 29.9 million, from 48.7 million in 2007. Royal Pingdom went through Netcraft’s server surveys to come up with the chart above, which shows the increase or decrease in the number of Websites for every year going back to 1996.

    The growth of the Web so far can be broken down into two five-year cycles, where every year the growth rate gets bigger until there is an economic downturn, when the growth rate takes a breather. In 2001 and 2002 the growth slowed and even went into negative territory, and again in 2008 there was another slowdown in the number of sites added to the Web. It stands to reason that the number of new sites will ebb and flow with the global economy, but it is not clear that there is any direct correlation. For instance, so far in 2009 we’ve added a whopping 46 million sites, many of them Chinese blogs. The total for the year will almost surely be much greater than the 2007 increase, and is already larger than all the sites added in 2008.

    Does that mean the global economy is already on a rebound or simply that countries like China and Russia are embracing the Web in a big way? These numbers also raise the question of how many sites does the world need—500 million, one billion, ten billion? Maybe the upper limit is the number of people who are on the Web, which is estimated between 1 billion worldwide (comScore) and 1.6 billion right now. Maybe it is more. How many Websites do you have?

    Here are the top countries by Internet population according to comScore.  All the growth is coming from China, Russia, Brazil, and India. (Growth is compared from July, 2008 to March, 2009 for an apples-to-apples comparison because comScore changed its methodology slightly in July, 2008).

    Internet population

    Jul-2008

    Mar-2009

    % Chg

    World-Wide

    949,583

    1,092,598

    15%

    China

    161,015

    192,000

    19%

    United States

    162,619

    163,825

    1%

    Japan

    56,786

    63,152

    11%

    Germany

    35,212

    39,183

    11%

    United Kingdom

    35,223

    36,781

    4%

    France

    31,842

    35,747

    12%

    India

    29,817

    33,340

    12%

    Russian Federation

    26,355

    30,710

    17%

    Brazil

    25,288

    29,081

    15%

    South Korea

    26,251

    27,901

    6%

    Canada

    21,587

    22,023

    2%

    Italy

    19,689

    21,174

    8%

    Spain

    16,562

    18,456

    11%

    Turkey

    N/A

    17,390

    N/A

    Mexico

    12,037

    12,914

    7%

    Sponsored Ads

    blog comments powered by Disqus

    Sponsored Ads

    Sponsored Ads

    Upcoming Events

    Disrupt SF 2012

    San Francisco, CA